Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 3.599832 3.829695 4.076860 4.364236 4.691596 5.055891 5.496274
2025-07-27 3.461951 3.813355 4.217687 4.725846 5.360593 6.147084 7.230719
2025-08-03 3.286767 3.722446 4.252517 4.965837 5.938171 7.285330 9.449424
2025-08-10 3.042861 3.514334 4.111520 4.958003 6.196573 8.090937 11.642317
2025-08-17 2.760109 3.225088 3.828558 4.712244 6.066919 8.288292 12.992408
2025-08-24 2.557710 3.019705 3.632587 4.557479 6.040155 8.649611 14.990272
2025-08-31 2.432435 2.904147 3.545115 4.545682 6.235761 9.484317 19.088511
2025-09-07 2.282680 2.743167 3.377769 4.388757 6.152890 9.746795 22.078708
2025-09-14 2.153978 2.602206 3.227059 4.239437 6.055446 9.950800 25.468332
2025-09-21 2.042553 2.478398 3.091830 4.099923 5.951711 10.111321 29.383259
2025-09-28 1.992736 2.437757 3.075487 4.152397 6.225295 11.351241 46.531715
2025-10-05 1.997580 2.474497 3.177345 4.417037 6.998701 14.646225 275.788012
2025-10-12 1.942371 2.428973 3.161624 4.499105 7.474121 17.965014 NaN
2025-10-19 1.929587 2.446433 3.249643 4.795198 8.625404 27.855539 NaN
2025-10-26 1.893517 2.426318 3.275103 4.979909 9.628081 45.523335 NaN
2025-11-02 1.822434 2.347377 3.193943 4.931661 9.919225 62.840641 NaN
2025-11-09 1.723994 2.220482 3.021072 4.664103 9.377724 59.228988 NaN
2025-11-16 1.648325 2.126243 2.899662 4.497210 9.152674 64.469264 NaN
2025-11-23 1.600399 2.073501 2.847166 4.475809 9.451071 101.507187 NaN
2025-11-30 1.536480 1.992316 2.739203 4.317110 9.181476 109.546910 NaN
2025-12-07 1.478290 1.918054 2.639678 4.168381 8.914111 116.178077 NaN
2025-12-14 1.425347 1.850295 2.548448 4.030716 8.658668 122.002893 NaN
2025-12-21 1.401954 1.828966 2.538911 4.079917 9.180678 586.525069 NaN